Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 10.433084 11.662554 13.014865 14.618898 16.477621 18.573274 21.128316
2025-11-23 8.516282 10.066371 11.896173 14.236773 17.181843 20.805896 25.667703
2025-11-30 7.503210 9.206138 11.314861 14.157441 17.950520 22.927716 30.107401
2025-12-07 6.580920 8.301641 10.510237 13.609112 17.937804 23.915823 33.065961
2025-12-14 5.809820 7.492208 9.714491 12.935584 17.607955 24.343442 35.190444
2025-12-21 5.311344 6.988629 9.263390 12.661774 17.769821 25.442273 38.426981
2025-12-28 5.352389 7.217172 9.829242 13.880745 20.249485 30.332825 48.544260
2026-01-04 5.122045 7.036488 9.785308 14.174911 21.322973 33.128227 55.617547
2026-01-11 4.748171 6.615819 9.348569 13.811568 21.281888 34.038165 59.405640
2026-01-18 4.595622 6.508597 9.369589 14.166315 22.460787 37.202610 68.096447
2026-01-25 4.316393 6.188829 9.035998 13.906313 22.542423 38.379794 72.985390
2026-02-01 4.090571 5.935451 8.786352 13.760001 22.801568 39.910772 78.918679
2026-02-08 3.875639 5.693753 8.550990 13.639939 23.138697 41.728832 86.127239
2026-02-15 3.637319 5.400761 8.212526 13.311178 23.050549 42.688545 91.590850
2026-02-22 3.469276 5.209607 8.027601 13.236702 23.438585 44.690415 100.125908
2026-03-01 3.238582 4.902474 7.626599 12.732448 22.915193 44.640732 103.307413
2026-03-08 3.006417 4.580860 7.181805 12.112346 22.093374 43.815324 104.201261
2026-03-15 2.854122 4.384715 6.942045 11.860073 22.007196 44.661525 110.067912
2026-03-22 2.932239 4.580624 7.399211 12.982345 24.967206 53.204993 141.666439
2026-03-29 2.872698 4.536051 7.423020 13.252866 26.098522 57.476994 161.454592
2026-04-05 2.730259 4.339541 7.158371 12.918711 25.819100 58.054516 168.776709
2026-04-12 2.688262 4.317574 7.213426 13.244963 27.111598 63.068486 194.162650
2026-04-19 2.573698 4.160496 7.006597 13.005863 27.029182 64.264437 205.401001